UAE to leave OPEC and OPEC+ oil producer groups

April, 28, 2026

Reuters  - The United Arab Emirates said on Tuesday it quit OPEC and ​OPEC+, dealing a heavy blow to ‌the oil exporting groups and their de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time ​when the Iran war has caused a ​historic energy shock and unsettled the ⁠global economy.

Here are some analyst reactions ​to the news.

JORGE LEON, ANALYST AT RYSTAD:

"The ​UAE withdrawal marks a significant shift for OPEC. Alongside Saudi Arabia, it is one of the ​few members with meaningful spare capacity—the ​mechanism through which the group exerts market influence."
"While ‌near-term ⁠effects may be muted given ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the longer-term implication is a structurally weaker OPEC. ​Outside the ​group, ⁠the UAE would have both the incentive and the ability ​to increase production, raising broader questions ​about ⁠the sustainability of Saudi Arabia’s role as the market’s central stabiliser — and pointing ⁠to ​a potentially more volatile ​oil market as OPEC’s capacity to smooth supply imbalances ​diminishes."

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