Oil falls after Lebanon and Israel agree ceasefire

June, 4, 2026

Reuters - Oil prices fell on ​Thursday after a ceasefire deal between Israel and Lebanon boosted hopes for a broader agreement to end ‌the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran that could lead to a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Trade was cautious and losses were limited. Brent futures were down $1.14, or 1.2%, to $96.67 a barrel at 1022 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 90 cents, ​or 0.9%, to $95.12.
The two contracts rose about 2% on Wednesday after renewed Middle East hostilities, including Iranian ​attacks on Kuwait and U.S. military strikes near the Strait of Hormuz.

Israel and Lebanon said ⁠late on Wednesday they had agreed to implement a ceasefire, raising hopes for a deal between Washington and Tehran. ​Iran has made any agreement conditional in part on an end to fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, an Iran-aligned group ​in Lebanon.

"Iran insists on a halt to Israel's aggression toward Lebanon, meaning Hezbollah, and indeed there does seem a breakthrough," PVM Oil analyst John Evans said.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said on Thursday that the ceasefire would come into force within 24 hours of ​all concerned parties approving it.

U.S. President Donald Trump suggested on Wednesday there could be progress in negotiations with Iran as ​soon as this weekend.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said on Wednesday Tehran's contacts with Washington had not been cut off, but no progress ‌had been ⁠made in the negotiations, adding both sides were studying texts that were exchanged.

In the U.S., the Republican-led House approved a resolution on Wednesday to block Trump from continuing the war against Iran. To take effect, the resolution would need Senate approval and two-thirds majorities in both chambers to override an almost certain Trump veto.

"In our view, the ​path of least resistance for ​prices remains to the ⁠upside as long as flows remain restricted," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.
Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday that Russian oil production has fallen since the start of ​the year due to unplanned refinery maintenance, marking the first time a Russian official ​has acknowledged the ⁠decline.

Meanwhile, U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 8 million barrels to 433.7 million barrels in the week ended May 29, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. That was a much bigger drop than the 4-million-barrel draw analysts had expected in a Reuters ⁠poll.
Slowing Chinese ​demand has also helped temper rising prices.
Iranian oil prices slipped into discounts ​for the first time since April, while Russian crude premiums eased as traders cut prices to entice Chinese buyers amid sluggish demand, trade sources ​said.

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